What the stats say

11/06/2020

GHI reviews the latest Covid-19 data released by the World Health Organization, governments and aviation analysts over the past week. Which countries have seen a rapid rise in cases? Are there areas where the pandemic is starting to plateau and what does that tell us?

The US is likely to have recorded its two millionth confirmed coronavirus case as you’re reading this column. For some context, the US had just 55,000 incidents when we launched the GHI Covid-19 Aviation Weekly 12 weeks ago.

Signs of the virus abating Stateside have been dampened by news that 14 states have recorded their worst weeks for fresh cases. Arizona, California, Florida, New Mexico and Texas were among those reporting jumps in seven-day averages of between +39% and +207%. The spike coincides with the relaxation of lockdown restrictions in many states during May. In contrast, New York saw a -43% reduction in its seven-day average of new cases and is just beginning to lift its lockdown restrictions.

Meanwhile, Brazil has resumed publishing its Covid-19 data after a Supreme Court order. The hiatus was a result of plans to improve data reporting claimed the country’s President, Jair Bolsonaro. Brazil has the second highest Covid-19 incident rate in the world and is closes in on three quarters of a million cases. Latin neighbours, Peru have climbed two places up the league table of most confirmed coronavirus cases this week and Argentina reported more than 1,000 cases in a day for the first time.

Elsewhere, India joins the Americas region in recording a plethora of new coronavirus cases. Nearly 70,000 have been reported in a week with Mumbai at the epicentre.

In Europe, Italy continues to report a flattened coronavirus curve with new cases per day below 300 for much of the past week and fatalities below 100.

A study by Imperial Colleage London claims lockdown measures helped save more than three million of lives in Europe

And finally, in a sign of things to come – New Zealand has lifted all Covid-19 restrictions and declared itself virus free.

We hope to be saying the same of many other countries in the not too distant future.

Top 10 countries by confirmed cases of Covid-19
  1. US: 1,979,850 (1)
  2. Brazil: 739,503 (2)
  3. Russia: 484,630 (3)
  4. UK: 290,581 (4)
  5. India: 275, 413 (7)
  6. Spain: 241,966 (5)
  7. Italy: 235,561 (6)
  8. Peru: 199,696 (10)
  9. France: 191,523 (8)
  10. Germany: 186,506 (9)

Top 10 data source