What the stats say

23/07/2020

GHI reviews the latest Covid-19 data released by the World Health Organization, governments and aviation analysts over the past week. Which countries have seen a rapid rise in cases? Are there areas where the pandemic is starting to plateau and what does that tell us?

The US hurtles towards its four millionth coronavirus case and set a new one day record of 75,821 positive Covid-19 cases in a single day. The situation is so severe that even Donald Trump is wearing a face mask. That’s the same Donald Trump, virus denier in chief, who said Covid-19 would be gone by Easter and that incidents were fading away as recently as last month.

The President pledged to work on a strategy to stop the spread (which presumably won’t involve injecting disinfectant). The volte farce comes after a dip in the President’s approval rating with a poll showing 60% of Americans now disagree with the way Trump has handled the crisis.

The White House must be wishing the problem would vanish and may have been encouraged by news from over the pond along those lines. Researchers at Oxford University showed their trial vaccine had triggered a strong immune response in volunteers. The clinical trials continue.

South Africa continues its ascent up the top 10 countries worst affected by the coronavirus by jumping from eighth to fifth place this week. India has become only the third nation to surpass one million confirmed cases with a study finding nearly a quarter of people in Delhi have fallen victim to the virus.

Latin America now accounts for more than three million cases according to reports. Brazil passed its two millionth case this week, but daily cases are down from almost 55,000 in mid-June to just over 40,000 this week. Peru, Chile and Mexico maintain their presence in the top 10 of worst affected countries by the virus.

The UK is on course to drop out of the rankings should new case levels continue to plateau. Positive tests have fallen from 8,000+ a day in April to around 800 this week. A word of warning from over the Channel as France reported 500 clusters of Covid-19 outbreaks this week. However, the French government played down fears of a second wave of the virus.

Top 10 countries by confirmed cases of Covid-19
  1. US: 3,902,058 (1)
  2. Brazil: 2,159,654 (2)
  3. India: 1,193,078 (3)
  4. Russia: 782,040 (4)
  5. South Africa: 381,798 (8)
  6. Peru: 362,087 (5)
  7. Mexico: 356,255 (7)
  8. Chile: 334,683 (6)
  9. UK: 297,389 (9)
  10. Iran: 278,827 (10)

11.  Iran: 262,173(10)

Top 10 data source