What the stats say

30/07/2020

GHI reviews the latest Covid-19 data released by the World Health Organization, governments and aviation analysts over the past week. Which countries have seen a rapid rise in cases? Are there areas where the pandemic is starting to plateau and what does that tell us?

The second wave. We knew it was coming and this week, in Europe at least, all the talk has been dominated by speculation that it’s here.

Spain has been the centre of furore with the UK Government implementing a quarantine on UK tourists returning from Spain because of a spike in Covid-19 cases. Occurrences are highest in the regions of Aragon, Catalonia and Navarra, well away from the beaches and islands to which many Britons flock. Spanish PM, Pedro Sanchez called the move ‘unjust’ and said tourists in most regions would be safer than back in the UK.  

The statistics show Spain reporting just over 2,000 coronavirus cases a day as of this week. The figure was less than 300 in mid-June, but more than 3,000 a day in late May. In contrast, the UK has registered between 500 and 800 positive cases for Covid-19 over the past two weeks. Italy’s occurrence rate is below 300 over the same period.

Elsewhere, Hong Kong has warned its hospital system could collapse as case numbers rise to 100+ a day. There is little movement in the top 10 of countries by confirmed coronavirus cases. The US approaches 4.5 million occurrences with southern neighbours, Brazil closing in on 2.5 million.

And finally: a look back at now vs then

On our final issue of the Covid-19 Weekly, we thought it would be interesting to compare the virus pattern with our very first issue – 19 weeks ago (see rankings below).

China was by far the epicentre of the pandemic back then. Europe dominated the rankings and the US had less than 60,000 reported cases. Only the US and the UK have maintained their berth in the top 10 all the way through to our 19th issue this week.

Proof that a lot can change in a few months and hopefully some of those developments will be positive developments in the weeks ahead.

We will revisit the figures in GHI’s new Annual Conference Community bulletin newsletter.

Until then, take care. 

BACK THEN…

Top 10 countries by confirmed cases of Covid-19 on 23 March
  1. China: 81,637 (1)
  2. Italy: 69,176 (2)
  3. US: 55,225 (6)
  4. Spain: 42,058 (4)
  5. Germany: 33,593 (5)
  6. Iran: 24,811 (3)
  7. France: 22,637 (7)
  8. Switzerland: 9,991 (9)
  9. South Korea: 9,137 (8)
  10. UK: 8,164 (10)
AND NOW…

Top 10 countries by confirmed cases of Covid-19

  1. US: 4,352,083 (1)
  2. Brazil: 2,483,191 (2)
  3. India: 1,531,639 (3)
  4. Russia: 822,060 (4)
  5. South Africa: 459,761 (5)
  6. Mexico: 402,697 (7)
  7. Peru: 395,005 (6)
  8. Chile: 349,800 (8)
  9. UK: 302,295 (9)
  10. Iran: 296,273 (10)
Top 10 data source